Vermont's four-year graduation rate declined from 85% in 2018 to 82% in 2025. The package-backed statewide series contains seven published points, and every observed transition was either flat or lower.

The rate held at 85% in 2019, fell to 83% in 2020, remained there through 2022, and reached 82% in 2023. The latest published state result was still 82% in 2025.

Two declines and four flat intervals

Among the six intervals between published state points, two declined and four were flat. The largest change was a 2-point drop from 2019 to 2020. The other decline was 1 point from 2022 to 2023.

Vermont has no published 2024 state row in this package series. The final interval therefore runs from 2023 to 2025 and spans two reporting years. Its 0-point change should not be read as a one-year result.

The pattern is a 3-point endpoint decline, not a continuous annual slide. Four published transitions were flat, including the latest available interval.

The latest state rate divided the local distribution

The 2025 local file contains 44 supervisory unions and districts with valid four-year rates. Twenty-four were below the 82% statewide rate, while 20 were above it.

The median local row was 81.4%, with a range from 61.3% to 94.1%. Those system rows are unweighted, so their distribution does not calculate or decompose the statewide rate. It simply locates the state benchmark inside the spread of local outcomes.

The evidence boundary starts in 2018

The package contains statewide all-student rows beginning in 2018. It does not provide a comparable state row for an earlier year, so this analysis does not claim a decade-long decline or identify an earlier statewide peak.

The aggregate file also does not test why the rate changed. Cohort composition, transfers, course completion, attendance, staffing and student services are possible lines of inquiry, not conclusions supported by this series.

The verified result is narrower: across the seven state points available from 2018 through 2025, Vermont's four-year rate moved down 3 points, with no increase between any two successive published values.

Data source: Vermont Agency of Education four-year adjusted cohort graduation results for published state years from 2018 through 2025. The agency explains access to the official files on its Annual Snapshot data-download page.

Detailed code that reproduces the analysis and figures in this article is available exclusively to EdTribune subscribers.